Moscow Mayor Sergey Sobyanin has placed stringent limits on the freedom of movement in Russia’s capital to stem the tide of the COVID-19 pandemic. To model what would have happened if he had not taken those measures and what could happen now that he has, we turned to Moscow State University Associate Professor Mikhail Tamm.
The researcher used the same statistical models that prompted the government of Illinois to introduce a strict stay-at-home order in Chicago. The results: It’s clear that interpersonal contact in Moscow must be limited severely and as soon as possible. That’s the only way to quench the epidemic enough to prevent the city’s medical system from becoming overwhelmed, leading to thousands of deaths. Tamm’s explanation of his research predicting the pandemic’s development in Russia’s capital is translated below in full, with three graphs and one table interspersed to display his data at a glance.
Mathematical modeling shows that full lockdown can prevent 100,000 COVID-19 deaths in MoscowRead More
